Sunday, September 27, 2020

Pandemic Response (2020 Presidential Election)

I would have never imagined in 2016, that when I was working on the 2020 blog, I would have a post about pandemic response.  In 2016, that was a game or a movie, certainly not a reality going on 6 months of a complete shift in our way of life.  And, we hear all the time, “Who would have ever seen this coming?”


Well, a lot of people actually.  Dr. Michael Osterholm, for one, literally wrote the book about it.  In 2018, an official from the White House office in charge of pandemic response was quoted as saying, “The threat of pandemic flu is the No. 1 health security concern.  Are we ready to respond? I fear the answer is no.”  He said that the day before his office was shut down.  


He was a part of the Global Health Security and Biodefense unit which was established in 2015 by Obama’s National Security Advisor, Susan Rice.  This was the unit responsible for pandemic preparedness and was created in response to the 2014 Ebola outbreak.  It was created to prepare for the next disease outbreak and prevent it from becoming an epidemic or a pandemic.  In May of 2018, the team was disbanded and some members were moved to other departments.



History will tell how Trump will be remembered in response to his coronavirus response.  If you want to see a timeline of incompetencies leading to the death of 200,000 Americans and counting, click here.  If you want justification on how the United States contributes 21% of the global death toll while representing only 4% of the population and how that’s a success story, click here.


But, for anyone saying, “Who’s to say Joe Biden would have done any better?”  I offer you the experience of other developed nations.  In the United States, a person is 8 times more likely to die from coronavirus than Europeans.  COVID is now the third-leading cause of death in the United States.  Given the complete lack of leadership at the federal level, the promotion of misinformation, and the rejection of science in favor of making a fickle economy look strong, people have needlessly died.  






 

So, what would Joe Biden have done differently?  Here are where the candidates stand.  If a candidate has a plan (spoiler alert: Joe Biden is the only one who ever has a plan), it is linked to their name.


Joe Biden:


Biden’s Record:

  • Led an effective response to the 2009 H1N1 epidemic

  • Led an effective response to the 2014 Ebola epidemic

  • Led the US out of the Great Recession

Biden’s Proposals:

  • Put scientists and public health officials front and center in the communication by immediately establishing daily, expert-led health briefings.

  • Ensure the public health decisions are made by public health professionals.

  • Restore the White House National Security Council Directorate for Global Health Security and Biodefense (on this point and writing about it)

  • Make coronavirus testing widely available and free, prioritizing first responders and health care workers

  • Establish at least 10 mobile testing sites and drive through facilities in each state to get testing per day in the millions

  • Provide a daily public White House report on how many tests have been done

  • Task all federal agencies to take immediate action to ensure that hospital capacity meets need

  • Protect health care workers, first responders, assisted living staff, and other frontline workers with proper PPE

  • Accelerate the development of treatment and vaccines

  • Work with businesses to expand development of PPE

  • Eliminating cost barriers for prevention and treatment of COVID-19

  • Provide guaranteed emergency paid sick leave and care-giving leave

  • Reimbursement to employers for sick leave

  • Federal assistance to hard hit families

  • Support for childcare and remote student learning

  • Mortgage and rental relief

  • Interest free loans for small businesses

  • Making the economy more resilient for future crises

  • Mobilizing an international response

  • Fully staff all federal agencies, task forces, and scientific and economic advisory groups focused on health security

Donald Trump:

Trump’s Record:  I can’t even.  See above.

 

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

LGBTQ+ Equality (2020 Presidential Election)


Our nation’s civil rights laws provide protections for people on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex,
disability, and religion.  But when it comes to sexual orientation and gender identity, it’s a patchwork of protections or absence thereof across the states.  The Obama-Biden administration affirmed that gender identity and sexual orientation were included under protections against discrimination on the basis of sex within employment under the 1964 Civil Rights Act.  The Trump-Pence administration reversed this position and argued to the Supreme Court that the Civil Rights Act does not offer those protections to people based on sexual orientation and gender identity and that it should be legal to fire people based on these characteristics.  The Supreme Court disagreed in a 6-3 decision written by Justice Neil Gorsuch that affirmed that the law does include protections for LGBTQ+ individuals and that an individual cannot be fired for being a member of the LGBTQ+ community.

On March 17, 2019, the House of Representatives passed the Equality Act which would amend existing civil rights laws to include sexual orientation and gender identity as protected characteristics within employment, housing, credit, education, public spaces and services, federally funded programs, and jury service.  It would amend numerous existing laws including the Civil Rights Act, the Fair Housing Act, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, and the Jury Selection and Services Act.   It was introduced in the House by Rep. David Cicilline (D-RI) and Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) and passed with a bipartisan vote of 236-173 where 8 Republicans voted in its favor.  It was introduced in the Senate by Sens. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Susan Collins (R-ME), Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), and Cory Booker (D-NJ).  The GOP-led Senate has not taken up the bill.

The GOP has a solid history of dehumanizing and delegitimizing the existence of LGBTQ+ individuals.  I’m a member of an LGBTQ+ families Facebook group and this morning someone was asking for recommendations for safe dentists for their kids.  It got me to thinking about how often I see requests like this for everything you can imagine: doctors, communities to live in, schools, childcare, bakeries, stores, restaurants, wedding venues, resorts, adoption agencies, the list goes on and on and touches every aspect of living a quality life.  This daily strain of having to make sure an environment is safe before you enter is not a free way to live.

The truth is that many environments are unsafe for LGBTQ+ people.  Many states have laws that permit business owners to opt out of providing services to LGBTQ+ people.  Anti-LGBT hate crimes are rising.  Nearly 1 in 5 hate crimes are motivated by anti-LGBTQ+ bias.  At the beginning of August 2020, the number of people being murdered for being transgender in 2020 had already surpassed the total for 2019.  Those statistics speak to threats to physical safety, but are compounded by the mental and emotional safety that are also under frequent threat.  And, unfortunately, some people decide that living like that just isn’t worth living.  Lesbian, gay, and bisexual youth are 5 times more likely than their heterosexual peers to attempt suicide.  One third of transgender young people report attempting suicide.

The youth are particularly vulnerable.  Despite representing only 7% of the youth population, LGBTQ+ youth represent 40% of the youth homeless population as a result of the frequency of being disowned by their family due to coming out.  LGBTQ+ young people are more than twice as likely to become homeless compared with their heterosexual peers.  In addition to the Trump-Pence administration proposing a rule to allow federal adoption agencies to discriminate against LGBTQ+ parents, which is already the law in many states, LGBTQ+ youth are often put at further risk when they aren’t placed with safe and affirming families in the foster care or adoption system.

Here is where the candidates stand on LGBTQ+ rights.  If they have a full policy proposal on their webpage, I’ve linked it to their name.

Joe Biden:

Biden’s Record:

Under the Obama-Biden Administration:

  • the military program, “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” forbid LGBT service members to be out was repealed.
  • Biden publicly voiced support for marriage equality in 2012.
  • protected transgender individuals from discrimination in healthcare.
  • affirmed that the Civil Rights Act protected LGBTQ+ persons from employment discrimination.
  • prohibited discrimination by federal contactors against LGBTQ+ people via executive order.
  • ensured that federally funded homeless shelters provide services based on a person’s gender identity and made it so they couldn’t refuse service to a person based on gender identity or sexual orientation.

As a private citizen, Biden:

  • promoted understanding and acceptance among young LGBTQ+ people through the “As You Are” campaign through the Biden Foundation.

Biden’s Policy Proposals:

In his first 100 days he will:

  • make the enactment of the Equality Act a top legislative priority and reaffirm that LGBTQ+ individuals are protected under the Civil Rights Act.
  • reverse the discriminatory actions of the Trump-Pence administration via executive order.
  • direct federal resources to help prevent violence against transgender women.

During his presidency he will:

  • nominate and appoint federal judges and officials who represent the diversity of the American people, including LGBTQ+ people.
  • reverse the transgender militarty ban.
  • ensure all transgender individuals have access to identification documents that accurately reflect their gender identity.
  • guarantee transgender students have access to facilities based on their gender identity.
  • work to enact the Tyler Clementi Higher Education Anti-Harassment Act named for a student who jumped to his death after being outed to his campus by his roommate’s webcam.  The act would require higher education receiving student aid funding to enact anti-harassment policies.
  • invest in programs such as the LGBTQ+ Youth Homelessness Prevention Initiative and the 3/40 Blueprint to prevent and reduce LGBTQ+ youth homelessness.  He will also increase funding for the Runaway and Homeless Youth Act which provides access to transitional living programs.
  • make sure LGBTQ+ refugees and asylum seekers have access to necessary services and protections.
  • guarantee the Affordable Care Act’s nondiscrimination protections for the LGBTQ+ community.
  • ensure comprehensive health care coverage for LGBTQ+ Americans.
  • ban conversion therapy.
  • expand mental health and suicide prevention services for LGBTQ+ individuals.

Donald Trump:

Trump’s Record:

The Trump-Pence Administration:

  • blocked transgender military service members from serving openly.
  • rolled back sex discrimination protections in healthcare for transgender people.
  • proposed policies to allow federally funded homeless shelters to turn away transgender people.
  • proposed policies to allow federally funded adoption agencies to reject same sex-sex couples.
  • and the Department of Justice argued in favor of people being able to be fired from their jobs for being a member of the LGBT community.
  • and the State Department rolled out a report that argued that property rights and religious liberty rights superseded all other human rights and should guide our domestic and foreign policy. 
  • recalled the Education Department’s order that public schools allow “gender-confused males access to girls’ restrooms and lockers.”


Monday, September 7, 2020

Law & Order (2020 Presidential Election)

Source: https://lybio.net/president-trump-i-am-your-president-of-law-and-order/people/

President Donald Trump often touts himself as the
law and order president.  So, what does that actually mean?  For most it conjures up images of someone who is tough on crime or a country with a strict criminal justice system with tougher criminal penalties.  The idea here is that, the tougher the consequences, the less crime there will be.  What it neglects to consider is the causes of crime in the first place.

When I hear words about law and order, the words of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr come to mind.  He wrote, “A nation that continues year after year to spend more money on military defense than programs of social uplift is approaching spiritual death.”  Here, he is talking about war and the military more than crime and the criminal justice system, but it seems the same message applies.  A “might is right” mentality does nothing to keep actual order.  Submission is not the same as loyalty and allowing the root causes that perpetuate crime to fester leads society to a spiritual death.

It also makes me think of my own parents.  My mother told me once that when we were little we would ask “Why?” all the time and my dad wanted her to just say, “Because I said so.”  But, she says she always stopped and explained why because she wanted us to understand why certain rules were in place, and not just blindly follow them.  She had the wisdom to understand that merely keeping us in check or keeping us afraid of the consequences, was not going to truly raise quality citizens and the moment we were out from under their watch, we would break free because we wouldn’t understand why the structures of society were in place as they were.

Now, Donald Trump talks a lot about “bad people.”  He tends to paint people as good or bad and they tend to fall into those groups based on whether they are loyal to him or not.  There isn’t a lot of nuance.  However, who are the people that we call criminals?  

80-90% of women and girls in the criminal justice system have a history of physical or sexual abuse.  1 in 4 children in foster care will interact with the criminal justice system just 2 years after their release from the foster care system.  Incarcerated individuals have a lower literacy rate than the general population.  Many people with mental illness or substance abuse issues end up in prison.  So, are they failing society or is society failing them?  Has our society already reached the point of spiritual death?

Another question I have is, should everyone that is in prison actually be in prison?  Are these tough on crime laws actually deterring crime?  The United States represents less than 5% of the global population and almost 25% of the global prison population.  The United States has the highest prison population rate in the world.  About 50% of prisoners are there for drug offenses.  Much of this is a result of the “War on Drugs” that instituted mandatory minimum drug sentences.  The prison population has increased 790% since 1980 but funding and space hasn’t kept up which has led to overcrowding. 

In 2020, you absolutely cannot talk about law and order or criminal justice without recognizing the racial inequity involved.  African American men are far more likely to be stopped, searched, charged, and sentenced than white men found guilty of the same offenses.  Black people receive 60% longer sentences than white people for the same crime.  5 times as many white people are using drugs as black people, but black people are sent to prison for drug offenses at a rate of 10 times the rate of white people.  African Americans serve nearly as much time in prison for non-violent drug offenses (58.7 months) as whites do for violent offenses (61.7 months).  

The 2014 shooting death of Michael Brown brought a lot of these inequities into the public spotlight.  Following his death and the resulting fallout, the Department of Justice investigated the Ferguson Police Department and found that “[Black people] accounted for 85 percent of traffic stops, 90 percent of tickets and 93 percent of arrests. In cases like jaywalking, which often hinge on police discretion, blacks accounted for 95 percent of all arrests.”  Maybe you’re thinking, black people just committed more crimes.  Wrong.  Officials were actually more likely to find contraband on white people.  Despite that, they continued to target black people.  

People living in poverty are also dispraportionately incarcerated.  Following the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis, donations to the Minnesota Freedom Fund went through the roof and enlightened a lot of people on the injustices of the cash bail system.  The United States and the Phillipines are the only two countries with a for-profit bail system.  The two primary types of bail are bail bonds which are paid to private companies and cash bail which is paid to the courts.  The Minnesota Freedom Fund fights the injustices prevented by the cash bail system by paying bail for those who cannot afford to.  On their website they explain that people who are arrested in Minnesota for any offense are brought before judges who determine their bail which is the amount of money that is to be paid to be released until their trial begins.  If they can’t afford to do so, they have to stay in jail for weeks, months, or even years awaiting trial.  In Minnesota, more than 60% of incarcerated individuals are being held in pre-trial detention.  This means that many people that may go on to be found innocent are stuck in jail because they can’t afford bail.  Not only does this affect a person mentally, it can result in job loss, housing loss, and loss of custody of children.

Now, I know a lot of people see this as not their problem.  They follow the law, follow the orders of police officers, so why should they care about people who broke the law?  They broke the law.  They knew the consequences.  I’m innocent, they’re guilty.  I don’t need to worry about any of this.  So, let’s talk about the issue that eventually gets everyone’s attention, money.  It costs the federal government about $100 a day to hold someone in prison.  If you want smaller government and lower taxes, the prison population is your concern.

Speaking of money, does Joe Biden want to defund the police?  A friend of mine was recently telling me about getting her haircut and how her stylist was saying she was voting for Donald Trump because Joe Biden wants to defund the police so there will be no police and just chaos in the streets.  There are three major problems with this statement.

The first problem is that it’s false.  Joe Biden does not want to defund the police.  In fact, he proposes a $300 million dollar investment in policing.  The second is that it misrepresents what defunding the police means.  Defunding the police does not mean getting rid of police all together.  It means reallocating some resources to other government agencies to address the root problems of crime such as mental health agencies and crisis centers.  And, the third problem is that it is under a Donald Trump presidency that we are experiencing chaos in the streets.  We did not have riots under the Obama-Biden administration like we are today.  And, to invoke Dr. King again, “riots are the language of the unheard.”  This is not to condone them, but to explain their cause.  That cause being racial inequality, which is a cause that is not being addressed by this current administration.

Finally, I can’t talk about Donald Trump being a law and order president without talking about all of the people around him who have been charged with and convicted of crimes.  To date, the following people in his orbit have served prison time or been charged with crimes and are awaiting trial.

  • Steve Bannon, Trump’s White House Chief Strategist was charged with conspiracy to commit wire fraud and money laundering along with Air Force veteran Brian Kolfage, founder of the Build the Wall campaign.
  • Roger Stone, longtime Trump friend and advisor was convicted of lying under oath to lawmakers, obstruction of justice, and witness tampering.  The day before he was expected to report to prison, Trump commuted his sentence.
  • Paul Manafort, Trump’s presidential campaign chair, was convicted of tax fraud and bank fraud, and pleaded guilty to conspiracy charges related to money laundering, lobbying violations, and witness tampering.  He is currently serving his 7 ½ year prison sentence at home after being released in May due to the coronavirus.
  • Michael Cohen, Trump’s personal lawyer, was found guilty of orchestrating hush money payments to women who had sexual encounters with Trump and for lying to Congress about a proposed Trump Tower in Moscow.  He was also released from prison due to the coronavirus to serve the remainder of his 3 year prison sentence at home.
  • Michael Flynn, Trump’s National Security Advisor, pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about his interactions with Russia’s ambassador.  Trump’s Attorney General William Barr has worked to have this case dismissed.
  • Rick Gates, the deputy chairman of the Trump campaign, pleaded guilty to conspiracy against the United States and lying to investigators.  He was sentenced to 45 days in jail after cooperating with the Mueller investigation and testifying against Paul Manafort and Roger Stone.
  • George Papadopolous, another Trump campaign advisor, was sentenced to 14 days in jail for lying to the FBI about his contacts with Russia.

Additionally, Trump has lost 38 lawsuits brought against him and settled with about 100 more plaintiffs in issues ranging from defamation to contract violations to sexual assault.  Likely, he most famously settled in the case of the fraud charges brought against Trump University where he agreed to pay $25 million to settle the lawsuit.  He has also settled when being sued for violations to the Fair Housing Act where he was charged with renting to white people over black people, 


So, is he really a law and order president?  You can decide for yourself.


But furthermore, what can be done about the criminal justice system?  Here are the candidates records and proposals.


Joe Biden


As president, Biden would

  • reduce the number of people incarcerated by sending those arrested for drug use to drug courts and treatment programs instead of incarceration thereby reducing federal spending on incarceration and reinvesting those saved funds into communities affected by mass incarceration.

  • call for the immediate passage of the SAFE Justice Act originally proposed by Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA) and Rep. Jason Lewis (R-MN).

  • create a $20 billion competitive grant program to spur states to shift from incarceration to prevention.

  • invest in education for all by making pre-K available to all, tripling funding for Title 1 schools, and make community college free for qualified students.

  • expand federal funding for mental health and substance abuse research and services.

  • address systemic misconduct in police departments.

  • invest in public defenders’ offices.

  • eliminate mandatory minimum sentencing for non-violent crimes.

  • decriminalize the use of cannabis.

  • eliminate the death penalty.

  • use his clemency power for non-violent and drug crimes.

  • end cash bail.

  • end the federal government’s use of private for-profit prisons.

  • condition receipt of federal criminal justice grants on adequate care and gynecological care for incarcerated women and re-evaluate programs that allow non-violent offenders who are primary care providers for their children to serve their sentences at in-home monitoring.

  • invest $1 billion per year in juvenile justice reform.

  • incentivize states to stop incarcerating youth.

  • expand funding for after school programs, community centers, and summer jobs.

  • double the number of mental health professionals in our schools.

  • set a goal to ensure that 100% of incarcerated individuals have housing upon re-entry in order to reduce recidivism rates.

  • counter the rise in hate crimes through “moral leadership that makes clear that such vitriol has no place in the United States.”

Donald Trump:


During President Trump’s presidency he has:

  • announced $98 million in grant funding through the COPS funding program to allow 802 additional full-time law enforcement officers.

  • signed Executive Order 13809 to restore state and local law enforcement’s access to equipment from the Department of Defense such as armored vehicles.

  • announced the new National Public Safety Partnership, a cooperative initiative to reduce violent crime.

  • expanded the Project Safe Neighborhoods to encourage U.S. Attorneys to work with communities to develop customized crime reduction strategies.

  • directed prosecutors to take illegal guns off the street resulting in a 23 percent increase in criminals being charged with unlawful possession of a firearm.

  • signed 3 executive orders aimed at cracking down on international criminal organizations, including drug cartels and gangs, and preventing violence against law enforcement officers.

  • designated MS-13 as a priority for the Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Force.

  • appointed conservative judges Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

  • appointed more than 50 circuit or appeals court judges.

  • appointed more than 80 district court judges.

  • signed the STOP School Violence Act and the “Fix NICS Act.”

  • allocated $2 billion for school safety.

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Jobs, Labor, & Minimum Wage (2020 Presidential Election)

What is the American Dream, anyway?  The phrase “American Dream” is widely attributed to Pulitzer Prize winning author, James Truslow Adams.  It first showed up in his 1931 book, The Epic of America.  He stated that, “life should be better and richer and fuller for everyone, with opportunity for each according to ability or achievement.”  It’s the idea that freedom isn’t just about doing whatever you want, but that when you work hard and do your part, you should be able to get ahead and stay ahead.  Those are the ideals at the foundation of America.  In order for those ideals to prevail, there has to be a strong and well-protected workforce.

Jobs

Most presidents create jobs regardless of party affiliation.  As mentioned before in my post on the economy, in the 38 months following the 2016 election, the US economy has added 7.3 million jobs.  In the 38 months before the 2016 election, the US added 8.4 million jobs.  Employers added an average of 176,000 jobs a month in 2019 compared to 223,000 jobs a month in 2018.

Looking at the last 12 presidents, including President Trump, Bill Clinton was the leader in job creation averaging 242,000 jobs per month.  The top four presidents in terms of job creation are Clinton, Regan, Carter, and Obama.   As of February 2020, there had been a record-breaking 113 straight months of job growth which began in September of 2010.  Then March came and payrolls fell by 701,000 ending the streak.


Labor Unions

Unions provide a voice to a group of workers.  Labor unions organizing and negotiating over the years have brought about numerous worker protections including the 40 hour work week, paid leave, overtime pay, child labor laws, workers comp, unemployment insurance, pensions, safety standards and regulations, employer health care insurance, raises, sexual harassment laws, the Americans with Disabilities Act, and holiday pay, among many other protections.  Unions use collective bargaining to negotiate wages and other conditions of employment using the concept that they are stronger and more powerful together as one voice instead of separate individuals.

Over 16 million workers in the U.S. are union workers or work a job that provides union representation and over 6 in 10 of those people are women and/or people of color.  Union workers earn roughly 13% more than non-union workers on a similar job site and experience lower rates of labor violations like health and safety requirements.  

Collective bargaining gives the little guy a big voice.  And, there are a lot of people who don’t like that.  Wisconsin governor, Scott Walker, made quite the name for himself in 2011 when he pushed to end collective bargaining rights for public workers.  Coincidentally, Wisconsin was the first state to offer collective bargaining rights 50 years prior.  He claimed that it was for the purpose of cutting costs and shrinking budget deficits.  It was an odd claim at the time given that 4 of the 5 states that had already outlawed collective bargaining (Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, & Virginia) had worse budget deficits than Wisconsin.  The fifth, Georgia, still had a deficit of $1.7 billion dollars.  So, no state that had ended collective bargaining rights had managed to balance their budgets.  Overall, the argument that ending collective bargaining was needed for budget reasons didn’t make a lot of sense.  Nevertheless, he was successful and the 2011 Wisconsin Act 10 became law on June 29, 2011 affecting collective bargaining, compensation, retirement, health insurance (it doubled health care premiums for state employees), and sick leave for public employees.  Firefighters and most law enforcement workers were exempted from the law.  

In the 1950s, 35% of the American workforce were union members.  Now, that’s down to just 10.5%.  This coincides with the rise in income inequality that I outlined in my post on the economy.  In the 1950’s, CEO’s made 20 times more than the median wage of their employees.  Last year, that rate ballooned to 287 times.  It could be argued that the middle class has been cut out of decades of economic growth.  Median household income has been basically the same for the past 20 years.   Meanwhile, the top 1% have had their incomes nearly triple in recent decades.  When politicians talk about income inequality, that is what they are talking about.  Much of this has to do with a tax code that benefits the wealthy leading to billionaires like Warren Buffet paying a lower tax rate than his secretary.

Minimum Wage

Current federal minimum wage is $7.25 per hour.  Due to inflation, today’s minimum wage is worth less than when its value peaked in 1968.  21 states began 2020 with a minimum wage higher than the federal level.  Seven states and Washington, D.C. have a $15 minimum wage which accounts for a little more than 30% of the nation’s workforce.

So, how many people actually earn the minimum wage?  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, in 2018, 1.7 million workers, or 2% of all hourly workers earned wages at or below the federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour.  82 million total workers were paid hourly wages accounting for 59% of all wage and salary workers in the U.S.

Typically, who are minimum wage workers?  About half of them are under the age of 25. Two thirds of minimum wage workers are in the service profession either in food prep or serving.   A PBS Newshour article from January 1, 2015 said that 62% of minimum wage workers are women and 77% are white.  64% are part-timers.

So, should we raise the minimum wage?  Economists are actually pretty split on this.  The 2014 Congressional Budget Report took a look at the proposal to raise the federal minimum wage to $10.10. It predicted a loss of 500,000 jobs by the second half of 2016 by forcing low skilled workers like teenagers out of the labor market since theoretically businesses would cut employees and are more likely to keep the more highly skilled employees.  On the other hand, the Economic Policy Institute predicted that the same increase would create 85,000 jobs over a three year phase-in period and inject 22.1 billion into the economy based on the concept that the more money people have, the more they spend.

The Congressional Budget Report also predicted that raising the wage to $10.10 would raise 900,000 people out of poverty (in 2014, 45 million people in the U.S. lived in poverty).  It would also reduce government welfare spending.  The Economic Policy Institute predicted that 1.7 million people would no longer be dependent on government assistance programs which would shave 7.6 billion off of government spending including reducing Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Programs (SNAP-formerly known as food stamps) by 6% or 4.6 million dollars.

Still, I repeatedly found a lot of evidence to support that a more effective way to help the poor would be to expand the earned income tax credit.  With this credit, the government subsidizes the wages of workers making under a certain amount and this does not lead to job losses as businesses make cuts to support employees on the new higher wage.

Here is where the candidates stand on labor and workers’ rights. Click on their name to be taken to their full policy page on their website.

Joe Biden:

Biden’s Record:

Biden’s Policy Proposals: 

As president, Biden will

  • restore protections for federal workers rescinded by the Trump administration around collective bargaining and union representation.

  • hold corporations and executives accountable for interfering with labor laws and organizing efforts.

  • pursue employers who violate labor laws, participate in wage theft, or cheat on their taxes by intentionally misclassifying employees as independent contractors.

  • make it easier for workers who choose to unionize to do so.

  • provide federal guarantee that public sector workers (educators, social workers, firefighters, police officers) can collectively bargain.

  • ensure that workers can exercise their right to strike without fear of reprisal.

  • expand rights to farmworkers and domestic workers.

  • extend the right to organize and bargain collectively to independent contractors.

  • increase the federal minimum wage to $15/hour.

  • stop employers from denying overtime pay.

  • incentivize states to reduce unnecessary licensing requirements and ensure licenses are transferred from state to state.

  • increase workplace safety and health.

  • end mandatory arbitration clauses imposed on employers by workers that waive worker rights to sue their employers.

  • sign the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act into law.


Donald Trump:


Trump does not highlight proposals, but rather, accomplishments on his website.  Under president Trump:

  • the manufacturing industry added nearly half a million new jobs.

  • 625,000 new construction industry jobs have been created.

Additionally, President Trump: